We’ve Never Seen A Storm Like This One… YouTube Video
We’ve Never Seen A Storm Like This One… YouTube Video Description
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In this video we are talking about the devastating upcoming impacts of Hurricane Hillary, more tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin, and our heat dome.
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We’ve Never Seen A Storm Like This One… Automated Transcript By Speak
Welcome back y’all. Ryan Hall here with the weather forecast. I’ve got one of the most interesting weather updates I’ve made in a long time for you. Let’s dive right into it. Ok. So first things, first, we have to talk about Hurricane Hillary out here in the Pacific Ocean.Let me zoom out to give you context as to where we’re looking at right now. Ok? Because this is absolutely insane. We’ve got a category four storm off the coast of Mexico and it’s making a beeline for California. We haven’t seen anything even close to this since 1939 but this one is going to be absolutely off the charts in terms of the amount of rainfall that we see and the unprecedented nature of us seeing an actual tropical storm forecasted for the Los Angeles region. The first ever tropical storm watch and warning has been issued up here in southern California. Right now. Hurricane Hillary has winds up to 130 MPH with maximum gusts around 100 and 60. It’s moving north northwest and it’s got a minimum, central pressure of 943 millibars now, as it gets closer to California. It’s going to weaken quite a bit with winds around 60 to 70 MPH and it’s only going to be a tropical storm. We do not expect a hurricane landfall in California. Here’s the latest forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center. You can see we’ve got hurricane warnings south of Tijuana and then tropical storm warnings all the way up to Los Angeles.
Literally, I can’t believe this is happening like this is something that you do not see every day. And it’s also even crazier that we seeing a tropical storm make landfall up here in California before Florida even has a chance of seeing a tropical storm. The biggest concern by far with this storm system is going to be flooding and we’ve got the first ever high risk of excessive rainfall for southern California as well tomorrow. And you can see here that that moderate risk also goes up into Nevada as well. Ok. So let’s start taking a look at what this thing could look like in the future. There’s your wind field, ok. You can see here that the strongest winds are still going to be tightly wrapped around the center of circulation around 2 p.m. today. Uh but very quickly watch what happens with the winds, ok. We go from maximum winds being around 100 MPH down to 70 down to 60 very quickly. So the winds with this storm are going to die out in a hurry, especially once the storm gets closer, uh, to California, we are not looking at a big time wind risk at all, except for maybe in the higher elevations. Now, don’t get me wrong. Some 40 to 60 mile an hour wind gusts are going to be possible and, you know, this area is not used to that at all, but this is not going to be like a traditional hurricane where there’s just constant 100 mile per hour winds, the strongest winds will be felt in southwestern Arizona, it looks like.
And of course, some of those winds will make it up into Nevada and of course, some of those winds will make it up into Nevada. Utah, maybe even up there into Montana as we get later into the day on Monday, but they’ll be much, much weaker than they are now. Now, although all aspects of this storm are going to be weak on its approach to California. One thing that’s gonna hold stronger for longer is the amount of moisture that’s being held within the storm. This is showing our precipitate water values. Notice how, you know, they’re incredibly high down here right now. But as the storm gets closer to California, it weakens out a little bit, but we still have record breaking levels of moisture in the air around, you know, 7 p.m. on Sunday in southern California. And this is when some of that most intense flash flooding is gonna be happening. Watch how the moisture gets run out along the mountains too. You see that and all of that precipitation is gonna run down into the valleys and cause life threatening, uh, significant once in a lifetime type flooding down here. Now it’s already been raining off and on in California and Arizona and Nevada.
But the rain’s gonna start picking up around 2 p.m. today and it’s really going to be nonstop from there. Notice how the greens get darker and we see more widespread rain showers as we go into about 8 a.m. on Sunday. This is when some of the flooding rains are really going to be moving in and notice how far away the center of circulation still is at this point. So we’re going to see extended periods of really incredible rainfall here and then the heaviest rain will be happening sometime around 11 pm on Sunday. And you know, this give or take two or three hours here and that’s going to get even more intense in the valley and up into Nevada as we go into the day on Monday. But once we get into, I’d say the afternoon and even hours on Monday, most of the heavy rain is going to be out of here. And here’s a look at the latest uh precipitation forecast from the Euro model. I think that this is really conservative. I’ve seen some models that’s shown even more than this, but a widespread 2 to 4 inches of rain cannot be rolled out with, of course, some closer to eight inch totals in the higher elevations here.
I think even in the valleys, we could see some totals much higher than four inches. In fact, I think there’s already a couple of places that have seen more than four inches of rain get ready for uh, serious, uh, dangerous mudslides and flash flooding in this area. This is the type of storm is going to cause all kinds of bad things. You’re gonna see videos of houses floating away. I mean, this is, you know, we’ve got to get prepared for the worst here. And unfortunately, it’s not just the Eastern Pacific Ocean that is lighting up with activity right now. We also have a lot of stuff to watch in the Atlantic Basin. We’ve got four areas of interest with my main two focuses being on this one and this one, ok. One of these is going to end up being tropical Storm Emily and really the only one right now that I think could actually impact our weather here in the US significantly is going to be this one in the Gulf and still don’t know what’s going to happen with this. The Gulf of Mexico is obviously primed for hurricane development right now. But even if this doesn’t turn into a hurricane, we’re going to see a tremendous amount of tropical moisture make its way up into Texas and Louisiana here, bring in, uh, a lot of rain. Ok. Let’s check out these areas of interest here on our FS forecast model. Uh, but look at this bad boy. It’s trying to curl up, it’s trying to turn into something. Uh, and even if it does, I believe it’s gonna stay out to sea there.
Uh, our other two areas of interest really kind of go to the wayside here. I don’t see much happening with them. I think our focus is going to shift very quickly to the increase in waves coming off of Africa. So here’s one that we’ve got to watch way back towards August, uh 24th, that looks like it could be something. And you think we’re done. Absolutely not watch Africa spit out another one right there around August 31st. This could also turn into a hurricane. So we’re watching the Gulf, we’re watching the main development region. Anything that kind of pops up in between is a big question mark right now because there’s still some wind shear out here so far. So good. We haven’t seen anything uh incredibly concerning coming out of any of these models, but the fact that we’re seeing so much activity during peak season is not good, especially since all of this dust, which is what’s been helping keep uh the activity at bay for a while is falling into the ocean.
So you can see by the time we get to August 21st, we’re really not going to have a big dust layer out there, which means that the sun is going to be able to better enhance convection. And we’re going to see more thunderstorms and possibly even more tropical systems out there. And I know you’re tired of seeing this map. But man, this is why we’re so concerned. This is not good. This is the hottest the ocean has ever been out here since we started caring about how hot the ocean is. And if a hurricane in perfect conditions were to ride up the this way or even up this way, uh I don’t think we even know what could happen with that. So let’s hope for the best and hope that these storms continue to rip themselves apart. Thanks to upper level, varying winds. And here’s something interesting. Here’s a video of me last year talking about the hurricane season before we had hurricane Ian. And I was even impressed by how warm the ocean waters were. Then, as you can see a lot of the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean are what I call Bathwater, 85 to 90 degrees over a very large area. That’s bad. Ryan. What about this?
I mean, if that doesn’t put it into perspective for you, I don’t know what will OK. And coming back on to land here for a second, we’ve got to talk about our heat dome. You see the big area of yellow and the center of the country watch how it gets darker and darker. We’ve, we’ve got a big area of orange. Now on August 24th, this is a humongous heat dome or Death Ridge or high pressure, the heat wave, whatever you wanna call it. And this is going to be absolutely controlling our weather for the near future. It’s gonna make things super hot, especially up here. Uh, in places like Iowa, Chicago, maybe even down towards, uh, Kansas and, and southern Missouri and those places we’re going to see multiple days in a row above 100 and maybe even 100 and 10 degrees. It’s gonna be absolutely miserable out there. And also we’re gonna see storms follow the top of the ridge. So it’s gonna be very nice weather for most of us except for the heat. Ok. We’re not gonna see any big storms, barely any clouds. And like I said, the storm systems are going to follow the top of the ridge and just look at how much precipitation is dodging the heart of the US, literally not a drop of rain expected through Thursday of next week.
And this whole area as everything literally is avoiding the heat dome like this. So obviously, we’ve got a lot going on out there, but our main focus is gonna be out in the tropics. We’re about to see a devastating situation out west and unfortunately, one of these areas of interest in the Atlantic eventually is going to use a hurricane that will likely landfall in the US as well. So I think we’re getting close to time to having to utilize the Y’all squad again if you don’t know what the Y’all squad is, it’s my 501 c three nonprofit organization that provides immediate disaster relief to communities affected by severe weather like tornadoes, hurricanes and flash floods.
We’ve given away over $200,000 in supplies and assistance so far this year. But I think we’re about to need more. So if you’re able to please go over to the y’all squad dot org. Now, there’s a link at the top of the description and just hit the donate button here and you’ll be able to make a tax deductible contribution to our official nonprofit organization. You can do a one time thing or a monthly thing. It could be any amount that you want and it’s gonna help us a lot. Ok. I would like to not have to wait until after the disaster happens for once to be able to fundraise and, and go out there. So let’s just go ahead and get ready for the next one and have a big lump sum of money in our y’all fund so that we can get out there to help whoever needs help. And I completely understand if you can’t make a contribution, nobody’s required to. But if you can, I am actually gonna be matching your donations all the way up to $10,000 ok. So hopefully we can get a good chunk of change in there before the next inevitable disaster hits. So once again, go to the y’all squad dot org link in the description, hit the donate button and help us out. It would mean so much. Thank you guys for all the support.
Thanks for allowing me to do this as my job and I will see you in the next one. Goodbye.
We’ve Never Seen A Storm Like This One… was transcribed automatically by Speak. We apologize for any inaccuracies in the transcript. All rights and credit are given to the creator of the video.
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